Quantool · Reading CoursesFictional examples · no live trading
Technical Analysis · TA-02d · Core

Failed breakdown

How do you recognize failed breakdown without treating it as an automatic entry?

One concept per page · original written lesson · 491 prose words · authored, not installed or production-approved

What you will learn and prerequisites

Read first: Market structure comes first, Candlestick anatomy and the ten-pattern path

A failed breakdown is a level-and-response pattern rather than a mandatory candle count. Price leaves the range below a known floor, cannot maintain the excursion and returns inside. The reclaim is the meaningful event.

Put location before the name

The fictional setup occurs after a range floor premarked at 99.50. That reference must be known before identifying the signal; otherwise a trader can invent convenient support or resistance afterward. Match the pattern's timeframe with the context timeframe and state when the bars finish.

The illustration is an original teaching sequence, not an alert, backtest or historical probability. The user's candle panel supplies the syllabus, not a specification for automated trading thresholds.

Read the geometry

The low at 97.50 is two points below the 99.50 reference; the close at 100.80 is 1.30 above it. This lesson declares a close-back-inside rule. Other methods can require time or volume confirmation, but the rule cannot be chosen after seeing the outcome.

Walk both next-bar branches

A confirming branch for this particular process is a retest holding 99.50 from above. An invalidating branch is renewed sustained trade below 99.50 rather than a maintained reclaim. Write both before watching the next interval. Confirmation is additional evidence, not certainty; failure means the original premise needs reassessment.

Even a visually confirmed pattern can offer poor execution economics. Check the next obstacle, spread, available liquidity and consequence of a failed entry. A bullish candle does not automatically justify buying an expensive call, and a bearish one does not justify uncovered short calls.

Read the completed bars

Use these exact data: bar 1: open 100.20, high 101.20, low 97.50, close 100.80. Begin with open and close, then inspect the shadows. Compare completed intervals; do not assume a particular high–low order within one interval.

The low at 97.50 is two points below the 99.50 reference; the close at 100.80 is 1.30 above it. This lesson declares a close-back-inside rule. Other methods can require time or volume confirmation, but the rule cannot be chosen after seeing the outcome.

Now rehearse the favorable and adverse branches above. Explain what would change your confidence without changing the already-completed candle. The chart and popup use this same OHLC sequence, so the lesson can be reproduced numerically rather than memorized from a decorative drawing.

Open the calculation without leaving this lesson

Candle measurements

Same-page calculation. Closing restores the lesson position and originating control.

Body=|C−O|; upper=H−max(O,C); lower=min(O,C)−L

These are measurements, not probability estimates.

  1. Bar 1: body 0.60; upper wick 0.40; lower wick 2.70.
1.30.

Failed breakdown—fictional completed intervals

Vertical: USD per share
Horizontal: Completed interval

Failed breakdown—fictional completed intervalsPrior context: a range floor premarked at 99.50. The data table preserves every open, high, low and close. Intrabar high/low order is not known from these bars. The complete numerical data are available below.97.16798.040298.913499.7866100.66101.5331

Hollow body: close at or above open. Filled body: close below open. Neither color is a trade instruction.

Prior context: a range floor premarked at 99.50. The data table preserves every open, high, low and close. Intrabar high/low order is not known from these bars.
Read the graph as a data table
Exact fictional OHLC inputs
IntervalOpenHighLowClose
1100.2101.297.5100.8

The named shape is not a guarantee

The adverse branch is renewed sustained trade below 99.50 rather than a maintained reclaim. Maintaining the original label does not restore the premise. A similar-looking candle in the middle of overlapping range trade may have much less useful context.

Another failure is hindsight selection: locating only successful examples after seeing their outcomes. A usable process needs stated definitions, transaction costs and out-of-sample evaluation before any claimed edge.

Check your understanding

Try the question before revealing its answer. These are reading checks, not trading certification or a site completion record.

How far above the premarked floor did the candle close?

Reveal the worked answer

1.30.

Calculate from the supplied OHLC, then distinguish geometry from the uncertain future.

Critical risk question

Does this pattern establish a profitable options entry?

Reveal the worked answer

No.

Instrument price, time, liquidity and the loss scenario must also be evaluated.

Takeaway

Recognize the failed breakdown, locate it, and explain both confirmation and failure before discussing a trade.

Sources, assumptions and downloadable script

External references support definitions and conventions. Worked scenarios and prose are original. No current quotes or dealer inventory are claimed.

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