How many contracts reduce example Beta from 1.2 to 0.4?
Reveal the worked answer
Sell 32.
(0.4−1.2)×10,000,000/250,000=−32.
How can broad risk change without selling the holdings?
Read first: What is an equity index future?
A manager may want to reduce market Beta while retaining individual investments. A short index future can offset part of the portfolio's common-market sensitivity. It does not remove company-specific risk or guarantee a matched return.
A simple estimate is N=(target Beta−current Beta)×portfolio value/(futures price×multiplier). It assumes a suitable proxy and a stable Beta estimate. Sector concentration, funding, basis and unexpected company events remain.
The hedge target and its statistical uncertainty should be stated separately. A precise contract count does not make the estimated Beta precise.
Define what risk to reduce and for how long. Choose an economically relevant index. Calculate contracts, round deliberately and record residual exposure. Then stress how cash and margin behave if the hedge moves against the account.
An index hedge cannot substitute for deciding whether individual holdings still deserve ownership.
All prices, portfolio values and account balances are fictional. Real contract calendars, broker requirements and available liquidity must be checked for the instrument actually traded. The example's mathematical hedge or payoff is not an execution guarantee.
A fictional portfolio is worth 10 million with estimated Beta 1.2. The future is 5,000 with a 50 multiplier, or 250,000 per contract. Targeting Beta zero implies selling 48. Targeting Beta 0.4 implies selling 32.
The chart varies target Beta under these fixed assumptions. It is a sizing illustration, not evidence that the portfolio's actual returns will follow the model exactly.
Vertical: Target signed futures contracts
Horizontal: Target portfolio Beta
| Target portfolio Beta | Fictional example |
|---|---|
| 0 | -48 |
| 0.2 | -40 |
| 0.4 | -32 |
| 0.6 | -24 |
| 0.8 | -16 |
| 1 | -8 |
| 1.2 | 0 |
An idiosyncratic earnings shock can damage holdings even while the broad hedge behaves as expected. Beta can also change during stress.
Try the question before revealing its answer. These are reading checks, not trading certification or a site completion record.
Sell 32.
(0.4−1.2)×10,000,000/250,000=−32.
An idiosyncratic earnings shock can damage holdings even while the broad hedge behaves as expected. Beta can also change during stress.
Explain this risk before treating the example as a decision rule. A correct calculation does not guarantee a favorable market outcome.
Return to the question: How can broad risk change without selling the holdings? State the observed facts, the assumptions and the failure condition separately.
External references support definitions and conventions. Worked scenarios and prose are original. No current quotes or dealer inventory are claimed.
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